Friday, April 22, 2016

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Road & Rail/Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.44 -3.73%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.03 +1.48%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.70 -5.96%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.45 -3.17%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 88.0 +41.94%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 -9.48%
  • NYSE Arms 1.07 -14.75
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 73.23 -1.23%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,033.0 +6.90%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 81.84 +.56%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.44 +.06%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 56.16 -.43%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 283.56 +.18%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 127.11 -.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.5 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 40.50 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.58 -.42%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .23% unch.
  • Yield Curve 106.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $66.33/Metric Tonne -5.86%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -25.10 -2.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -17.20 -3.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 16.0 +1.0 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.65% +1.0 basis point
  • 23.0% chance of Fed rate hike at June 15 meeting, 34.9% chance at July 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -238 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -17 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +52 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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