Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Stocks Higher into Afternoon on Oil Reversal Higher, Diminished Global Growth Fears, Earnings Optimism, Homebuilding/Retail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.07 -1.6%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 118.43 -.18%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.01 -.30%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.64 -.6%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 52.0 -49.0%
  • Total Put/Call .83 -9.78%
  • NYSE Arms .99 -43.1
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.84 -1.34%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 693.0 +1.37%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 90.72 -2.68%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 24.48 -2.64%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 41.83 -1.65%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 239.53 -1.55%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 131.65 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.0 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 53.75 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -39.0 -2.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.22 -.19%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .30% +1.0 basis point 
  • Yield Curve 80.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.75/Metric Tonne +.85%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 10.1 +8.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 28.7 +1.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -1.7 -.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.49% +1.0 basis point
  • 32.3% chance of Fed rate hike at Nov. 2 meeting, 54.2% chance at Dec. 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +43 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +25 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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