Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Tuesday Watch

Evening Headlines
  • China’s Credit Party Winds Down in Headwind for Economic Growth. Chinese companies’ borrowing costs have never been so low. That’s little consolation to firms cutting debt rather than investing amid a slowing economy. The amount of local yuan bond sales minus maturities fell 39 percent in August from a year earlier for non-financial firms to 124 billion yuan ($18.6 billion), data compiled by Bloomberg show. Net issuance since March 31 has slowed to 496 billion yuan after a record 810 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2016. Yields on AA+ and AA rated five-year securities dropped to record lows this month. The decline in bond financing and the lowest fixed-asset investment growth since 1999 suggest central bank monetary easing will have trouble reviving growth that’s forecast to slow through next year. China must balance cutting corporate debt, which more than doubled in five years to 111.7 trillion yuan at the end of 2015, with steps to revive the world’s second-biggest economy. 
  • Yuan Bearish Bets Build Up on Fed Rate-Increase Signals: Chart.
  • Asian Stocks Gain Amid U.S. Rebound While Japan Shares Retreat. Asian stocks rose, following a rebound in U.S. shares on signs of strength in the American economy, while equities in Japan slumped after the yen snapped a four-day slide. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.3 percent to 138.33 as of 9:16 a.m. in Tokyo.
Wall Street Journal:
Zero Hedge:
Business Insider:
Financial Times:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 113.25 -.5 basis point.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 41.75 +1.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.65 -.05%
  • S&P 500 futures -.02%. 
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.02%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note

  • (ANF)/-.21
  • (CBK)/-.06
  • (DSW)/.30
  • (FRED)/-.20
  • (GIII)/.18
  • (ISLE)/.30
  • (AVAV)/-.16
  • (HRB)/-.54
  • (PANW)/.49
Economic Releases  
9:00 am
  • The S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City Composite is estimated to fall -.1% versus a -.05% decline in May. 
10:00 am EST
  • The Consumer Confidence Index for August is estimated to fall to 97.0 versus 97.3 in July.
Upcoming Splits 
  • (CHD) 2-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Japan Industrial Production report, weekly retail sales reports and the Jefferies Semi/Hardware/Communications Infra Summit could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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