Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Earnings Outlook Worries, Oil Decline, Technical Selling, Hospital/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.6 +4.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 118.59 +.19%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.39 -.84%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 42.90 +8.33%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 +12.1%
  • Total Put/Call .99 +8.79%
  • NYSE Arms 1.07 -8.2
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 74.25 +.64%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 520.0 +.01%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 94.50 +3.3%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 18.1 -2.69%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 33.49 -.56%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 229.63 unch.
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 132.52 -.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.0 -1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 54.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -44.0 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.60 +.31%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .33% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 91.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.96/Metric Tonne +4.52%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -13.1 +1.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 35.7 +1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.40 +1.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.70% +1.0 basis point
  • 74.2% chance of Fed rate hike at Dec. 14 meeting, 75.3% chance at Feb. 1 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +23 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +1 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +4 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my medical/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) shorts
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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