Saturday, December 30, 2017

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:
  • Goldman(GS) Sees Crypto, Credit Shadowing Robust 2018 U.S. Economy. Hatzius has already made some predictions for the new year: four Federal Reserve rate hikes, real U.S. gross-domestic product growth quickening to an average of 2.6 percent, the jobless rate dropping to about 3.5 percent, and the yield curve not inverting. In a new report, Hatzius reiterated his expectation for overall economic strength, while flagging some concerns. Goldman isn’t the only firm to send up a warning flag about cryptocurrencies. JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon labeled bitcoin a “fraud.” Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said it is a “highly speculative asset,” and Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said it’s being used for speculation
  • As Oil Rises, Shale Drillers With Few or No Hedges Stand to Gain. OPEC Wins Over Hedge Funds to Make 2017 Oil's Most Bullish Year. The signs that the group is winning its tug of war with shale are compelling, and money managers have taken note: Their combined bets on rising prices for West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude reached record levels in December.
Wall Street Journal:
Barron's:
  • Had bullish commentary on (XLB), (GLW), (GSK), (DIS), (HD), (TJX), (WMT), (FIVE), (AAPL) and (CVX).
  • Had bearish commentary on (SHLD), (PIR), (WSM) and (ANF).
Zero Hedge:

Friday, December 29, 2017

Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 Index 2,682.55 -.05%




















 
The Weekly Wrap by Briefing.com.
 
Indices
  • DJIA 24,810.70 +.11%
  • NASDAQ 6,930.39 -.52%
  • Russell 2000 1,541.31 -.3%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 42.63 +.01%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 141.88 -1.06%
  • Wilshire 5000 27,779.3 -.01%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 1,356.93 -.1%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,226.65 +.08%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 589.16 +.49%
  • Vanda Cyclicals-Defensives 1.4647 -.03%
  • NYSE Technology 1,701.97 -1.08%
  • Transports 10,655.0 +.22%
  • Utilities 724.19 +.69%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 99.68 -.66%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 47.09 +2.3%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,262.08 unch.
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 1,002.92 -.04%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 313,781 +.50%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 480 +56
  • Bloomberg Crude Oil % Bulls 55.56 +46.83%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 601,839 -2.06%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,456,059 -4.5%
  • Total Put/Call 1.09 +6.38%
  • OEX Put/Call .12 -99.9%
  • ISE Sentiment 76.0 +27.1%
  • NYSE Arms 1.08 +51.61%
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.18 +6.55%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 38.26 +5.38%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.21 +3.89% 
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.86 -.51%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 20,148.46 +.16%
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $2.842 Trillion +.79%
  • ICI US Equity Weekly Net New Cash Flow -$12.902 Billion
  • AAII % Bulls 52.7 +4.3%
  • AAII % Bears 20.6 -19.5%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 193.81 +3.29%
  • Crude Oil 60.38 +3.54%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 180.04 +3.0%
  • Natural Gas 2.95 +13.17%
  • Heating Oil 207.50 +6.5%
  • Gold 1,306.0 +3.1%
  • Bloomberg Base Metals Index 211.56 +2.64%
  • Copper 329.45 +2.6%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 290.0 USD/Metric Tonne unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 512.50 CNY/100 Metric Tonnes -1.06%
  • Lumber 448.0 +1.66%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,014.17 +1.14%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +2.8% unch.
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate 3.5% +10.0 basis points
  • Philly Fed ADS Real-Time Business Conditions Index .1756 -4.93% 
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 341.37 +111.41%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 146.49 +.40%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 75.7 -8.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 49.30 -7.2 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.3 -3.1 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 86.0% chance of no change, 14.0% chance of 25 basis point hike on 1/31
  • US Dollar Index 92.18 -1.25%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,674.62 +.83%
  • Bitcoin/USD 14,529.50 +2.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.99 +.73%
  • Yield Curve 62.25 -6.75 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.41% -7.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $4.409 Trillion +.02%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 23.75 -.02%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 251.99 -.03%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 3.97 n/a
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap Index 12.66 -3.50%
  • Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.74 -4.28%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 53.51 -7.0%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 53.10 -2.68%
  • Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 118.40 +.18%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.97 +.11%
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.98% +3.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 31.5 -3.75 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.5 -2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.0 +50.5 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 49.37 +1.23%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 369.0 -.53%
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 44.0 -.59%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 119.54 -1.27%
  • CMBS AAA Super Senior 10-Year Treasury Spread to Swaps 163.0 unch.
  • M1 Money Supply $3.612 Trillion -1.49%
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,079.70 +.1%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 237,750 +1,750
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.4% unch.
  • Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.99% +5.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 379.20 -4.91%
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 52.4 +1.6 points
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.10% +50.0 basis points
  • Nationwide Gas $2.48/gallon +.0/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,366.0 -15.63%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 770.64 +.9%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 22.50 -10.0 basis points
  • Rail Freight Carloads 281.210 -2.9%
Best Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Value +.5%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value -.4%
Leading Sectors
  • Gold & Silver +2.8%
  • Oil Service +2.2%
  • Shipping +1.8%
  • REITs +1.7%
  • Enrgy +1.3%
Lagging Sectors
  • Airlines -.7% 
  • Semis -.7%
  • Banks -.9%
  • Networking -1.0%
  • Disk Drves -1.2%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (6)
  • WATT, RXDX, BOMN, XPO, FINL and APOG
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (2)
  • AIR and CAMP
Weekly Charts
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change