Tuesday, December 26, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Profit-Taking, Sector Rotation, Technical Selling, Tech/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Around Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.19 +2.93%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.03 -.06%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.89 -.88%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.51 -2.24%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 67.0 +13.6%
  • Total Put/Call 1.06 +12.8%
  • NYSE Arms .64 -34.32%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 49.50 +.12%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 371.0 -.73%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 43.98 -.16%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.96 n/a
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.46 -.15%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 120.81 +.04%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.98 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 19.5 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 35.75 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -74.25 -3.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.74 +.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.34% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 56.75 -2.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 489.0 CNY/100 Metric Tonnes -.91%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 80.50 -4.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 50.0 -6.5 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.0 -1.8 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.95 unch.
  • 72.5% chance of Fed rate hike at March 21 meeting, 74.2% chance at May 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +17 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +19 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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