Friday, December 22, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into the Afternoon on Profit-Taking, Sector Rotation, Technical Selling, Gaming/Steel Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.07 +4.68%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.93 -.21%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.92 -.13%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.42 +2.99%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 45.0 -45.78%
  • Total Put/Call .93 +10.7%
  • NYSE Arms 1.13 +81.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 49.28 +1.05%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 374.0 +.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 44.13 -1.85%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.96 unch.
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.12 -1.02%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 120.70 -.16%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.87 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 34.25 +2.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -70.5 -5.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.74 +.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.32% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 59.25 -1.25 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 515.0 CNY/100 Metric Tonnes unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 84.50 +10.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 56.50 +3.3 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.2 +.8 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.95 unch.
  • 71.4% chance of Fed rate hike at March 21 meeting, 73.3% chance at May 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -2 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +17 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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