Friday, December 08, 2017

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Oil Gain, Yen Weakness, Biotech/Retail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.65 -5.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.23 +.34%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.96 -1.5%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 36.82 -.24%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 104.0 -25.71%
  • Total Put/Call .93 +12.0%
  • NYSE Arms .60 -33.42%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.06 -1.16%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 373.0 +.39%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 46.58 -2.05%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.44 -4.44%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 14.23 -.07%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 176.92 -.96%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.89 +.1%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 19.5 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.0 +2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -60.75 +2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.99 +.11%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.28% unch.
  • Yield Curve 58.5 +2.25 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 502.0 CNY/100 Metric Tonnes +1.93%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 65.20 +2.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 60.10 +.7 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 8.70 +6.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 +1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Jan. 31 meeting, 100.0% chance at March 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +84 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +35 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +17 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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