Friday, December 29, 2017

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Profit-Taking, Yen Strength, Technical Selling, Networking/Restaurant Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.33 +1.37%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.97 +.35%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.86 +.13%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 38.26 -10.10%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 78.0 -25.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.06 -3.64%
  • NYSE Arms 1.07 +41.14%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 49.14 -.26%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 369.0 -.52%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 43.97 +.92%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.96 n/a
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.67 -3.21%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 119.25 -1.0%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.97 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.50 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 31.5 +3.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.0 -2.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 74.26 +.12%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.38% unch.
  • Yield Curve 52.25 -.25 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 490.50 CNY/100 Metric Tonnes n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 75.70 -1.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 49.30 -.5 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.30 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.98 +1.0 basis point
  • 69.0% chance of Fed rate hike at March 21 meeting, 70.4% chance at May 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +45 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +37 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -35 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my medical/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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