Thursday, January 19, 2017

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Earnings Ouutlook Concerns, Rising Long-Term Rates, Profit-Taking, Retail/Drug Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.79 +2.48%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.89 +.46%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.01 +1.10%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.98 -.23%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 67.0 +91.2%
  • Total Put/Call .88 -18.52%
  • NYSE Arms .77 -30.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.11 +.32%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 434.0 -7.57%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 86.27 +.22%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.87 -1.0%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 34.71 +2.06%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 240.12 +.99%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 133.01 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 31.0 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 52.25 +2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -42.25 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.62 -.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .51% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 124.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $80.99/Metric Tonne -1.29%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 45.20 +5.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 66.10 -1.9 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 38.30 -.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.06 +4.0 basis points
  • 36.6% chance of Fed rate hike at March 15 meeting, 52.0% chance at May 3 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +3 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +25 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -27 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my in my retail/biotech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

No comments: