Friday, January 27, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on US Economic Data, Oil Decline, Profit-Taking, Energy/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 10.52 -1.03%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.54 +.58%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.78 +1.32%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.15 +2.97%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 74.0 -21.28%
  • Total Put/Call .97 +11.49%
  • NYSE Arms 1.02 -25.41%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.17 +.29%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 404.0 +.22%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 87.13 +1.72%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.81 +2.54%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.29 -1.13%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 234.76 -.82%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 133.41 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.75 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 53.75 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -37.5 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.37 +.12%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .50% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 127.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $83.34/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.80 n/a
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 51.0 n/a
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 39.50 n/a
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.07 unch.
  • 36.3% chance of Fed rate hike at March 15 meeting, 50.4% chance at May 3 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +33 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +124 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -4 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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