Monday, January 09, 2017

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Technical Selling, Oil Decline, Yen Strength, Energy/Transport Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.59 +2.39%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.14 -.4%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.16 +.72%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.69 -7.08%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 111.0 +70.77%
  • Total Put/Call .98 +2.08%
  • NYSE Arms 1.29 +16.49%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.31 +1.38%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 418.0 -.68%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 87.19 -.36%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.29 -2.41%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 34.39 +1.96%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 234.94 +2.17%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 132.67 -.18%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 28.0 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 51.25 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -44.75 +2.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 69.84 -.19%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .50% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 119.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $77.73/Metric Tonne +1.94%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 28.50 +1.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 71.0 -.1 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.70 +.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.97 -1.0 basis point
  • 33.3% chance of Fed rate hike at March 15 meeting, 46.6% chance at May 3 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +31 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +18 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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