Thursday, March 02, 2017

Stocks Lower into Afternoon on Fed Rate-Hike Worries, Profit-Taking, Oil Decline, Metals&Mining/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.78 -6.06%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 125.65 +.31%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.69 -.41%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 45.55 -.91%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 100.0 +23.46%
  • Total Put/Call .94 +9.3%
  • NYSE Arms .71 +17.59%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.31 -1.03%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 348.0 -.11%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 86.48 -2.17%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.30 -1.76%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.23 -.32%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 212.56 +2.06%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 135.33 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 33.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 38.0 -5.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.75 +1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.85 -.74%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .66% +4.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 117.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $92.36/Metric Tonne +1.21%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.40 +2.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 68.60 -.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 51.60 -3.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.03 unch.
  • 91.3% chance of Fed rate hike at May 3 meeting, 96.3% chance at June 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +51 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -15 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my in my retail/biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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