Tuesday, March 07, 2017

Stocks Modestly Lower into Final Hour on Tax Reform Worries, Fed Rate-Hike Fears, Profit-Taking, Hospital/Telecom Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.15 -.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 125.83 unch.
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.28 -2.42%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.69 -.31%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 +52.5%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -3.37%
  • NYSE Arms 1.20 -12.68%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.67 +2.06%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 353.0 -1.81%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 88.23 +1.08%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 18.98 -5.1%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.92 -1.98%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 207.44 -.09%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 135.59 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 32.0 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 37.0 -2.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.5 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.24 +.24%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .74% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 119.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $89.80/Metric Tonne +.08%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 38.0 -.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 59.10 -7.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 55.70 +.9 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.03 unch.
  • 96.4% chance of Fed rate hike at May 3 meeting, 97.9% chance at June 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +21 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -3 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my in my retail/biotech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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