Friday, December 01, 2017

Stocks Reversing Sharply Lower into Final Hour on Mueller Investigation Worries, Yen Strength, Profit-Taking, Tech/Transport Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.4 +10.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.97 -.46%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.92 -.75%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation n/a
  • ISE Sentiment Index 115.0 +4.55%
  • Total Put/Call .70 -16.67%
  • NYSE Arms .69 -16.89%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.74 +.84%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 370.0 -1.74%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 46.95 +.13%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.48 -.29%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.79 +.04%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 181.07 -.06%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.60 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 23.5 +4.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -47.75 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.26 +.05%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.26% unch.
  • Yield Curve 59.0 -3.75 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $70.11/Metric Tonne +2.91%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 60.10 +.7 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 70.30 -1.0 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 1.80 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Jan. 31 meeting, 100.0% chance at March 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -160 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -83 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +81 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my tech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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