Tuesday, January 02, 2018

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Biotech/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 9.89 -10.42%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.1 +.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.96 +.89%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 36.23 -10.6%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 99.0 +26.9%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -22.0%
  • NYSE Arms .50 -66.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 48.53 -1.15%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 375.0 +2.11%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 44.38 +1.16%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.96 n/a
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.75 -1.32%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 116.91 -2.16%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 146.17 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.0 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.25 -4.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -18.0 +2.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 74.76 +.68%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.40% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 53.75 +1.75 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 490.50 CNY/100 Metric Tonnes n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 71.90 -3.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 45.80 -3.5 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.60 +.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.01 +3.0 basis points
  • 72.5% chance of Fed rate hike at March 21 meeting, 74.2% chance at May 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +40 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +60 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/biotech/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

No comments: