Thursday, October 15, 2020

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 66.5 +.5 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 39.75 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 59.21 -.02%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 190.0 -3.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 28.55 -1.13%
  • FTSE 100 futures +.91%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.32%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.38%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (ALLY)/.70
  • (BMI)/.38
  • (BK)/.94
  • (JBHT)/1.28
  • (KSU)/1.90
  • (SLB)/.13
  • (STT)/1.41
  • (VFC)/.47
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for Sept. is estimated to rise +.8% versus a +.6% gain in Aug.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for Sept. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.7% gain in Aug.
  • Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas for Sept. is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.7% gain in Aug.
9:15 am EST
  • Industrial Production MoM for Sept. is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +.4% gain in Aug.
  • Capacity Utilization for Sept. is estimated to rise to 71.8% versus 71.4% in Aug.
  • Manufacturing Production for Sept. is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +1.0% gain in Aug.
10:00 am EST
  • Business Inventories for Aug. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.1% gain in July.
  • Preliminary Univ. of Mich. Consumer Sentiment for Oct. is estimated to rise to 80.5 versus 80.4 in Sept.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone PMI report and the (SAFM) investor day could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by financial and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finished mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

 

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