Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Stocks Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Diminished Stimulus Hopes, Rising Virus Lockdown Worries, Biden Presidency/Tax Hike Fears, Transport/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 32.3 -.62%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index -100.0 -26.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.90 -.25%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.07 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.5 +.23%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 93.0 -41.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .78 -29.1%
  • NYSE Arms 1.25 -12.0%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 59.81 +2.31%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 810.74 +.68%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.33 +.57%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 132.0 unch.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 66.32 +.96%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 207.49 -.48%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 179.64 -.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 12.75 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -15.0 -.5 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  82.75 +1.25 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 68.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 59.41 -.16%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% unch.
  • Yield Curve 64.5 -2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 113.20 USD/Metric Tonne +.63%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 116.8 +3.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 10.20 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 45.40 +6.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.72 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 16th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -80 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +25 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -51 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/consumer staple/tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

No comments: