Friday, October 02, 2020

Stocks Falling into Afternoon on Global Virus Worries, Rising Biden Presidency Odds, Oil Decline, Tech/Biotech Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 27.75 +3.86%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 11.0 -101.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.91 -.40%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.62 -.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.49 -.61%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 114.0 -11.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .82 +5.1%
  • NYSE Arms .68 -56.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 58.48 -.16%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 881.79 +.88%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.70 -1.19%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 132.0 -4.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 75.36 +.34%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 227.61 +1.48%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 177.96 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.75 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 14.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -11.0 +.75 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  90.5 -1.5 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 66.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 59.30 -.29%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 54.5 -1.75 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 116.26 USD/Metric Tonne -.53%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 164.2 -3.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 41.20 -8.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 50.0 -.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.65 +1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 16th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +175 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +27 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +13 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

 

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