Thursday, December 10, 2020

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Virus Shutdown Worries, US Jobless Claims, Technical Selling, Transport/Industrial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 22.5 +1.0%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 1,304.0 -29.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.89 +.40%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.3 -1.35%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 47.7 +5.5%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 146.0 +56.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .67 -21.2%
  • NYSE Arms .75 -21.1%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.93 +1.64%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 594.86 -.11%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 59.37 +3.93%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 117.0 -2.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 58.02 +.44%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 163.67 -.29%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 181.92 -.12%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.0 unch.
  • TED Spread 15.5 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.5 +.75 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  74.5 +.75 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 72.5 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 62.42 +.36%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 78.0 -.75 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 156.73 USD/Metric Tonne +1.37%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 69.20 +2.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 140.8 +1.0 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 60.80 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 -1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Jan. 27th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at March 17th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -86 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +25 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -31 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

No comments: