Thursday, January 28, 2021

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 62.0 -.75 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 31.75 -.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.99 -.05%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 1,410.0 +51.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 30.3 -.31%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.22%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.22%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.34%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (BMI)/.43
  • (BAH)/.83
  • (CAT)/1.49
  • (CVX)/.08
  • (CHD)/.52
  • (CL)/.76
  • (LLY)/2.40
  • (GNTX)/.50
  • (HON)/2.00
  • (JCI)/.41
  • (LHX)/3.10
  • (LYB)/1.33
  • (PSX)/-.99
  • (SAP)/1.56
  • (WY)/.48
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The 4Q Employment Cost Index is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.5% gain in 3Q.
  • Personal Income for Dec. is estimated to rise +.1% versus a -1.1% decline in Nov. 
  • Personal Spending for Dec. is estimated to fall -.4% versus a -.4% decline in Nov.
  • The PCE Core MoM for Dec. is estimated to rise +.1% versus unch. in Nov.
9:45 am EST
  • The MNI Chicago PMI for Jan. is estimated to fall to 58.5 versus 59.5 in Dec. 
10:00 am EST
  • Pending Home Sales MoM for Dec. is estimated to fall -.5% versus a -2.6% decline in Nov. 
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The German GDP/Unemployment reports could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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