Friday, January 22, 2021

Stocks Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Earnings Jitters, Oil Decline, Tax Hike/Regulation Fears, Energy/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 21.5 +1.0%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,177.0 -22.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 130.83 +.31%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.3 +1.1%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.9 +6.2%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 122.0 +5.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .62 -15.1%
  • NYSE Arms .83 -35.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.13 +.62%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 504.40 +3.4%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 60.07 +1.2%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 126.0 +8.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 61.05 +.45%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 171.0 +2.2%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 185.48 -.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 14.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.25 -1.25 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  69.0 +.25 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 73.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 62.22 -.73%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 98.75 +2.5 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 166.40 USD/Metric Tonne -2.4%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 78.20 +15.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 142.0 +.5 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 60.30 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.08 -9.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at March 17th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at April 28th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +19 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -72 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +12 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my energy/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

No comments: