Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
- Volume: Above Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing Inline
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 24.5 +32.6%
- Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,243.0 -622.0 points
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 133.37 -.60%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.7 +2.7%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.3 +3.4%
- ISE Sentiment Index 80.0 -8.0 points
- Total Put/Call 1.0 -.99%
- NYSE Arms 1.42 -12.9%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.21 +4.44%
- US Energy High-Yield OAS 434.68 +6.0%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.41 +.28%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 110.0 +4.0 basis points
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 85.20 +.9%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 167.26 +3.5%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 38.89 -.35%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 6.75 -1.25 basis points
- TED Spread 9.0 -.25 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.5 -.5 basis point
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 73.0 +1.75 basis points
- IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 73.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 59.66 -.75%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% unch.
- Yield Curve 106.0 -3.0 basis points
- China Iron Ore Spot 210.9 USD/Metric Tonne -1.25%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 17.6 -2.3 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 67.4 -6.6 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 59.2 -4.5 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.28 -6.0 basis points
- 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 3rd meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Dec. 15th meeting
US Covid-19:
- 68 infections/100K people(last 7 days) +1/100K people
- 13% of Jan. 7th, 2021 peak(highest daily avg. new infections) unch.
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -507 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -169 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating -52 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Lower: On losses in my commodity/tech/industrial/medical sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Took profits in my commodity sector longs and added to my tech sector longs
- Market Exposure: 50% Net Long
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