Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
- Sector Performance: Most Sectors Gaining
- Volume: Below Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 20.9 -5.8%
- Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 4,880.0 +234.0 points
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.93 +1.5%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.9 +.4%
- CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 39.8 -4.5%
- ISE Sentiment Index 115.0 +16.0 points
- Total Put/Call 96.0 -5.0%
- NYSE Arms .89 +15.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 74.11 +.77%
- US Energy High-Yield OAS 354.41 -1.5%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 89.68 +2.3%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 164.0 unch.
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 112.16 +2.8%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 258.72 -.4%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 29.5 unch.
- Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 10,198.1 -4.0%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 25.0 -1.75 basis points
- TED Spread 22.5 -9.0 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.5 +1.25 basis points
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 114.0 -3.0 basis points
- iShares CMBS ETF 48.87 -.28%
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 53.28 -.24%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .82% +5.0 basis points
- Yield Curve 33.75 -6.25 basis points
- China Iron Ore Spot 151.5 USD/Metric Tonne +.5%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 69.90 +3.6 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 24.0 -1.0 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 44.7 -.4 point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.96 +2.0 basis points
- 0.0%(unch.) chance of no change at June 15th FOMC meeting, 0.0%(unch.) chance of no change at July 27th meeting
US Covid-19:
- 81 new infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 5.0%(+1.0 percentage point) of 1/14 peak +7/100K people from prior report.
- New Covid-19 patient hospital admissions per 100K population -93.4%(unch.) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/21 - 1/15/22
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +180 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -56 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating +51 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my industrial/tech/consumer discretionary/medical sector longs and emerging market shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long
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