Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
- Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
- Volume: Around Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 22.7 +2.5%
- Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 4,312.0 -58.0 points
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.82 unch.
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.1 -.54%
- CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 37.3 -.35%
- ISE Sentiment Index 101.0 +1.0 point
- Total Put/Call .92 -1.08%
- NYSE Arms 1.37 +79.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.91 +.86%
- US Energy High-Yield OAS 351.70 +1.14%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 87.34 +.97%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 165.0 unch.
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 102.39 +.63%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 236.54 +1.6%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 29.7 -.15%
- Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 11,643.2 -10.3%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 23.0 +.5 basis point
- TED Spread 31.75 +2.25 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.25 -.75 basis point
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 111.0 -2.0 basis points
- iShares CMBS ETF 49.27 -.10%
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 53.39 +.06%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .67% unch.
- Yield Curve 19.75 +9.25 basis points
- China Iron Ore Spot 158.30 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 56.9 +6.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 31.5 -1.0 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 28.0 -4.5 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.85 +2.0 basis points
- 0.0%(unch.) chance of no change at June 15th FOMC meeting, 0.0%(unch.) chance of no change at July 27th meeting
US Covid-19:
- 64 new infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 4.0%(unch.) of 1/14 peak +1/100K people from prior report.
- New
Covid-19 patient hospital admissions per 100K population -93.2%(+.2
percentage point) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/21 - 1/15/22
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +227 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -58 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating +112 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my commodity/medical sector longs, index hedges and emerging market shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long
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