S&P 500 4,276.90 -2.3% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 33,811.40 -1.9%
- NASDAQ 12,839.39 -3.8%
- Russell 2000 1,041.37 -3.0%
- S&P 500 High Beta 68.91 -3.5%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 219.05 -9.5%
- Wilshire 5000 43,119 -3.0%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,541.11 -3.4%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,598.50 -1.6%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 827.69 +.39%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,173.80 -.35%
- NYSE Technology 3,196.72 -4.3%
- Transports 15,067.0 +1.5%
- Utilities 1,043.0 -1.7%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 74.2 +.9%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 42.48 -4.0%
- HFRX Equity Hedge 1,488.52 -.09%
- HFRX Equity Market Neutral 928.9 +.19%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 459,680 -.55%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -620 -1,140
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -34.3 +3.4%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 304,778 -1.2%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,783,725 -2.2%
- Total Put/Call 1.28 +39.1%
- OEX Put/Call 1.58 +19.2%
- ISE Sentiment 70.0 -29.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.06 +7.6%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 4,452.0 -170.0 points
- Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index + Bubbles 3.24 -6.5%
- Volatility(VIX) 27.7 +14.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 45.1 +4.2%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.84 +7.0%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 10.9 -1.8%
- Smart Money Flow Index 13,738.77 -4.2%
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.468 Trillion -1.4%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -15.861 Million
- AAII % Bulls 18.9 +19.6%
- AAII % Bears 43.9 -9.3%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 309.21 -.87%
- Crude Oil 101.8 -4.3%
- Reformulated Gasoline 329.56 -2.5%
- Natural Gas 6.52 -8.6%
- Heating Oil 393.62 +3.2%
- Newcastle Coal 322.4 (1,000/metric ton) +6.1%
- Gold 1,933.68 -2.2%
- Silver 24.25 -5.2%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 578.65 +.3%
- Copper 458.10 -3.0%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 629.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1%
- China Iron Ore Spot 145.40 USD/Metric Tonne -5.9
%
- Lumber 1,010.50 +15.9%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,641.45 -1.1%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 820.0 USD/Short Ton -1.2%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +1.3% +.2 percentage point
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate +4.6% +.3 percentage points
- Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 25.0% unch.
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 4.5 +1.8%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 69.7 -15.7%
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 235.89 +.66%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 67.1 +11.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 30.7 +20.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 43.8 +12.0 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-9.0 percentage points) chance of +0.0-25.0 basis point hike, 97.9%(+6.9 percentage points) chance of +25.0-50.0 basis point rate hike on 5/4
- US Dollar Index 101.23 +.90%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,723.47 -.71%
- Bitcoin/USD 39,450 -1.9%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.80 +1.6%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 19.0 -18.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 2.90% +7.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.919 Trillion -.11%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 16.4 +4.4%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 138.36 -.03%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 170.0 +6.0 basis points
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 72.1 +14.6%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 221.70 +.9%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.56 -.01%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 34.7 +8.7%
- Russia Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 11,936.25 +12.6%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 29.5 +.01%
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 3.01% +10.0 basis points
- TED Spread 35.75 +7.25 basis points
- 2-Year Swap Spread 30.0 +4.25 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.5 -1.75 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 79.17 +8.1%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 330.0 -.31%
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 90.44 +2.6%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 269.44 +4.4%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 124.0 +8.0 basis points
- Markit CMBX BBB-6 76.4 +.7%
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 11.0 unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,086.7 +1.5%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 177,250 +2.6%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.0% -.1 percentage point
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 42.8 -.7%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 5.29% +23.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 374,000 -5.0%
- Weekly Retail Sales +14.3% +.9 percentage point
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 -4.8% -.1 percentage point
- Box Office Weekly Gross $154.1M +53.0%
- Nationwide Gas $4.12/gallon +.05/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,068 +.34%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 3,117.7 n/a
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 -7.7%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 102.17 -2.1%
- Rail Freight Carloads 268,573 -1.2%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,279,905 +20.4%
- US Covid-19: 92 infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 5.0%(+1.0 percentage point) of peak on 1/14/22 +18/100K people from prior week
- US Covid-19: New patient hospital admissions per 100K -92.6%(+.6 percentage point) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/22-1/15/22
Best Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Value -.8%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth -4.0%
Leading Sectors
- Computer Services +2.8%
- Airlines +2.2%
- REITs +2.1%
- Disk Drives +2.0%
- Foods +1.2%
Lagging Sectors
- Video Gaming -7.0%
- Steel -7.3%
- Internet -8.3%
- Gold & Silver -9.9%
- Alt Energy -10.1%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (3)
- KMB, AN and GNTX
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (51)
- SIL, SNBR, PINS, BCX, CSTL, RGEN, SCCO, EDR, CWEN, MORF, GOOG, ITCI,
COIN, PLUG, IPI, QTRX, AVAV, NEM, SHLS, NVAX, COUR, BAX, RUN, CDXS,
ALGN, RDFN, RUN, AMR, CENX, EXPI, URBN, RIOT, W, RIGS, AA, CPE, ACHC,
FCX, TBK, CDLX, XM, PRCT, AEO, METC, SILK, ARCH, CRSR and GPS
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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