Friday, March 17, 2023

Weekly Scoreboard*

 

S&P 500 3,913.1 +1.6%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 31,814.7 -.06%
  • NASDAQ 11,607.5 +4.7%
  • Russell 2000 1,721.54 -2.5%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 66.11 -.82
  • Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 5.94 +2.3%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 135.0 -.33%
  • Wilshire 5000 39,133.8 +1.1%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,337.12 +4.3%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,428.28 -1.5%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 747.74 +1.2%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,109.9 +1.7%
  • NYSE Technology 2,996.3 +5.3%
  • Transports 13,788.4 -2.8%
  • Utilities 920.53 +4.0%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 74.98 -12.0%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 37.6 -.68%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,446.53 -.34%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 923.54 -.31%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 447,738 -.64%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 4.5 -4.3%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -473 -90
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -25.8 +2.9%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 206,901 -3.9%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,755,027 +.28%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 -17.1%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.30 +26.6%
  • ISE Sentiment 85.0 +18.0 points
  • NYSE Arms 1.7 -.7%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 41.3 -24.7%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.73.0 -57.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.4 -.28%
  • DJIA Intraday % Swing 1.46% -26.3%
  • CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 43.0 +3.9%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 10.54 +4.7%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 11.8 +5.2%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 12,577.83 -5.8%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  41.9 -18.2
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.015 Trillion +2.5%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$4.201 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 19.2 -22.6%
  • AAII % Bears 48.4 +16.1%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 256.64 -3.2%
  • Crude Oil 66.72/bbl. -12.6%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 249.9 -5.0%
  • Natural Gas 2.34 -2.8%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 42.9 euros/megawatt-hour -19.1%
  • Heating Oil 267.87 -3.1% 
  • Newcastle Coal 179.65 (1,000/metric ton) -.69%
  • Gold 1,978.54 +5.7%
  • Silver 22.5 +9.5%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 430.39 -2.4%
  • Copper 390.15 -2.5%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 460.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.4%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 129.9 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1%
  • Lumber  448.50 +7.6%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,521.87 -.52%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 365.0 USD/Short Ton +.7%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +3.25% +45.0 basis points
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index .96 +33.3%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 303.9 +195.1%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 225.83 n/a:  Growth Rate +1.5% n/a, P/E 17.5 
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.36% unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 50.7 +6.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 48.4 -11.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 20.8 +5.7 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 31.4%(+31.4 percentage points) chance of no change, 68.6%(+8.8 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.75-5.0% and 0.0%(-40.2 percentage points) chance of +50.0 basis point hike to 5.0-5.25% on 3/22
  • US Dollar Index 103.83 -.74%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,670.48 +.25%
  • Bitcoin/USD 26,430.8 +23.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.9 -1.8%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) -48.0 +41.25 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.40% -30.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.603 Trillion +3.6%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.7 +1.7%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 183.28 +10.9%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 195.0 +14.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 24.79 +11.9%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 76.3 +3.4%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 247.14 +8.5%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 63.68 +24.6%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.7 -1.7%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 26.86 -.98%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.6% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +6.3% -60.0 basis points
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +9.5% -60.0 basis points
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Rents YoY 6.15% -7.0 basis points
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +4.73% +1.0 basis point: CPI YoY +5.22% -99.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.11% -18.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 59.75 +33.0 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 28.25 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -30.25 -6.75 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 88.67 +5.6%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 283.0 +16.1
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 448.0 +125.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 128.46 +39.25%
  • Credit Suisse Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 1,051.53 +127.9%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 263.45 +8.5%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 159.0 -2.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 634.0 +60.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .72 +14.0 basis points
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -1.7% unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,163.4 -1.3%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 196,500 -.38%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% +10.0 basis points
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 50.1 unch.
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.0% -5.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 214,500 +6.5%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +2.8% -20.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 +129.5% +121.6 percentage points
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $150.7M +16.3%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.46/gallon -.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,560.0 +9.6%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 992.5 -2.8%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 60.0 +14.3%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 45.6 -5.9%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 229,383 -3.1%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,461,141 +8.0%
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth +4.3%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Value -3.8%
Leading Sectors
  • Gold & Silver +11.7%
  • Software +8.2%
  • Internet +6.3%
  • Semis +5.7%
  • Video Gaming +5.6%
Lagging Sectors
  • Alt Energy -6.3%
  • Energy -7.5%
  • Airlines 9.2%
  • Oil Service -11.9%
  • Banks -14.1%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (16)
  • MSTR, COIN, FDX, NEM, ACIW, ACLX, SD, PHYS, IAU, COCO, EEFT, GOOG, MSFT, NVDA, ADBE and FHI
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (64)
  • BE, FBNC, ING, CHRD, OZK, CSIQ, BC, FFBC, PNC, FITB, AAT, FHN, BHF, QTWO, CAR, HOMB, BOWL, ACDC, URI, HRI, TCBI, FBP, MAXN, SSB, AMLX, HEES, WTFC, ALTG, SFNC, RCKT, PK, TFC, OCFC, HBAN, ZION, TEX, HTZ, VNO, CMA, HALO, EWBC, KW, UMBF, SPWR, KEY, KMT, USB, SNV, SILK, ASB, ENPH, SBGI, SLG, BKU, GTLS, CUTR, RUN, NOVA, WAL, SRPT and FRC
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

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