S&P 500 3,955.7 +.9% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 32,191.7 +.9%
- NASDAQ 11,787.9 +1.2%
- Russell 2000 1,726.0 -.13%
- NYSE FANG+ 5,912.9 +2.5%
- Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 6.08 +1.5%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 132.90 -1.8%
- Wilshire 5000 39,512.5 +.86%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,372.94 +1.1%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,440.30 +.58%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 759.52 +1.2%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,127.1 +1.14%
- NYSE Technology 3,037.8 +.93%
- Transports 13,638.3 -.92%
- Utilities 902.5 -2.2%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 74.0 -2.4%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 38.7 +2.9%
- HFRX Equity Hedge 1,447.31 +.14%
- HFRX Equity Market Neutral 923.9 +.11%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 446,019 -.38%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 6.0 +213.2%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -460 +13
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -25.7 +.5%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 176,219 -14.8%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,767,660 +.72%
- Total Put/Call 1.07 +5.9%
- OEX Put/Call 1.23 +7.9%
- ISE Sentiment 81.0 -4.0 points
- NYSE Arms .97 -47.6%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 46.6 +12.8%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.84.0 -11.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index -4.65 -51.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 22.4 -11.2%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing 1.18% -19.2%
- CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 38.3 -10.2%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 10.15 -3.7%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 11.8 -.34%
- Smart Money Flow Index 12,693.0 +.92%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 53.2 +11.3
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.132 Trillion +2.3%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$.699 Million
- AAII % Bulls 20.9 +8.9%
- AAII % Bears 48.9 +1.0%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 257.78 +1.23%
- Crude Oil 69.23/bbl. +4.2%
- Reformulated Gasoline 259.34 +4.4%
- Natural Gas 2.21 -6.7%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 41.1 euros/megawatt-hour -4.7%
- Heating Oil 270.5 +1.3%
- Newcastle Coal 190.0 (1,000/metric ton) +8.6%
- Gold 1,976.17 -.2%
- Silver 23.1 +2.8%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 445.3 +2.8%
- Copper 406.80 +4.5%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 453.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.5%
- China Iron Ore Spot 118.3 USD/Metric Tonne -5.9
%
- Lumber 411.0 -9.2%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,508.54 -.83%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 365.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +3.18% -6.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate
- Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 60.0% unch.
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.06 +11.6%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 227.3 +173.7%
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 226.23 +.41: Growth
Rate +1.7% +.2 percentage point, P/E 17.5 unch.
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.34% -2.0 basis points
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 61.2 +10.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 52.6 +4.2 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 20.2 -.6 point
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-25.3 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 4.5-4.75%, 83.0%(+29.0 percentage points) chance of no
change, 17.0%(-3.7 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.0-5.25% on 5/3
- US Dollar Index 103.12 -.70%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,691.4 +.95%
- Bitcoin/USD 27,732.7 -.6%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.79 +.14%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -40.0 +8.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.36% -4.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.697 Trillion +1.1%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 44.7 +4.5%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 184.26 +.21%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 189.0 -6.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.7 +19.9%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 87.47 +14.4%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 252.39 +1.7%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 59.1 -7.1%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 44.7 +5.7%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 26.8 -.63%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.6% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +6.3% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +9.5% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Rents YoY 6.15% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +4.73% unch.: CPI YoY +5.22% unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.23% +12.0 basis points
- TED Spread 53.5 -6.25 basis points
- 2-Year Swap Spread 32.0 +3.75 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.25 +5.0 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 86.77 +.1%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 286.0 +.5%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 449.0 +1.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 117.51 -8.9%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 497.6 +29.5%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 255.48 -3.4%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 159.0 unch.
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 656.0 +22.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .90 +18.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -1.7% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,118.0 -3.9%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 196,250 -.13%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 47.3 -5.5%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.79% -21.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 221,000 +3.0%
- Weekly Retail Sales +2.9% +10.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 +129.5% n/a
- Box Office Weekly Gross $152.8M +1.4%
- Nationwide Gas $3.44/gallon -.02/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,484.0 -3.3%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 977.1 -1.6%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 60.0 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 46.6 +2.2%
- Rail Freight Carloads 226,046 -1.5%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,189,372 -13.0%
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +1.0%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +.1%
Leading Sectors
- Video Gaming +3.8%
- Electric Vehicles +3.4%
- Gold & Silver +2.6%
- Pharma +2.1%
- Foods +2.1%
Lagging Sectors
- Banks -1.7%
- Road & Rail -1.7%
- Utilities -2.3%
- Airlines -2.4%
- REITs -2.4%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (7)
- ATVI, HCC, KRC, TALO, WAL, ISRG and ATRC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (15)
- HRI, ASAI, CRH, HLT, URI, INCY, CHWY, LPLA, ZNTL, TRUP, BBIO, PDD, PTCT, GTLB and RILY
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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