Friday, October 20, 2023

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 4,235.3 -2.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 33,139.6 -1.5%
  • NASDAQ 12,999.3 -2.9%
  • Russell 2000 1,686.71 -1.8%
  • NYSE FANG+ 7,362.7 -2.9% 
  • Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 29.30 -4.3%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 119.7 -4.6%
  • Wilshire 5000 41,967.4 -2.2%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,667.8 -2.6%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,455.91 -1.6%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 711.08 +.94%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,231.64 -1.6%
  • NYSE Technology 3,525.28 -3.2%
  • Transports 14,462.7 -1.5%
  • Utilities 809.8 -1.6%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 83.0 -3.8%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 37.0 -2.7%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 188.5 -1.2%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 103.96 +.16%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 448,672 -.76%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 6.7 -16.2%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -1,073 -561
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -37.5 +5.3%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 321,974 -7.9%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,753,314 -1.9%
  • Total Put/Call 1.04 -1.9%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.60 -5.1%
  • ISE Sentiment 93.0 -26.0 points
  • NYSE Arms 1.18 +41.0%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 66.3 -4.1%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.22 -20.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index -.26 -19.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 21.1 +9.4%
  • DJIA Intraday % Swing .71% -45.0%
  • CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 31.3+15.6%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.2 +1.7%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.4 -1.2%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 12,075.8 -2.6%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  66.7 +20.9
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.608 Trillion -1.7%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$8.179 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 34.1 -14.8%
  • AAII % Bears 34.6 -5.2%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 286.01 +1.2%
  • Crude Oil 88.8/bbl. +1.2%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 237.0 +4.7%
  • Natural Gas 2.91 -9.1%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 51.11 euros/megawatt-hour -7.5%
  • Heating Oil 316.34 -1.6% 
  • Newcastle Coal 142.0 (1,000/metric ton) -3.4%
  • Gold 1,981.10 +2.4%
  • Silver 23.37 +2.8%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 399.69 +.08%
  • Copper 355.65 -.4%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 367.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 113.2 USD/Metric Tonne -3.5%
  • CME Lumber  489.5 -3.0%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,593.6 +.93%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 347.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +5.41% +26.0 basis points
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.27 +14.1%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 351.63 +393.0%
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(86 of 500 reporting) +2.2% -12.1 percentage points
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 240.28 +.30:  Growth Rate +9.3% +.1 percentage point, P/E 17.8 -.3
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.11% -7.0 basis points
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(2 of 10 reporting) -20.9%
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 267.31 +.21: Growth Rate +57.7% +.1 percentage point, P/E 27.5 -1.0
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 52.9 +1.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -32.4 +10.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 23.0 +4.6 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-0.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 96.2%(+2.4 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.0%(-6.2 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 11/1
  • US Dollar Index 106.2 -.5%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,665.18 -.15%
  • Bitcoin/USD 29,514.3 +8.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 169.16 +1.0%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) -16.75 +26.5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.92% +30.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.898 Trillion -.24% 
  • Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.720 Billion +3.6%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 52.o4 +10.1%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 207.05 -.02%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 204.0 unch.
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.18 +4.1%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 85.94 +3.3%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 192.5 +4.1%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 137.02 +10.8%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 43.4 +11.2%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.69 -.32%
  • China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 70.2 -5.3%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.0% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.2% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.7% unch.
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.7% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.70% unch.: CPI YoY +3.36% -4.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.47% +13.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 21.5 +4.0 basis points
  • 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -12.25 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -27.0 +1.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 80.8 +5.6%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 197.0 +1.3
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 351.0 -5.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 102.77 +5.8%
  • Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 308.94 +2.7%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 244.2 +2.9%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 188.0 +3.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 905.0 -7.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .87 +2.0 basis points
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.7% unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,216.1 +.5%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 205,750 -.48%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% +10.0 basis points
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 49.8 -.5%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 8.03% +23.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 166,900 -6.9%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.3% +30.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -5.0% unch.
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $124.0M +15.4%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.56/gallon -.07/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,071.0 +6.5%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 817.20 -.34%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 32.5 unch.
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 39.4 -8.1%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 267,376 +.73%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,684,362 +20.6%
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value +1.5%
Worst Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Growth -2.6%
Leading Sectors
  • Restaurants +3.7%
  • Gold & Silver +2.2%
  • Medical Equipment +2.2%
  • Retail +1.3%
  • Energy +1.1%
Lagging Sectors
  • Airlines -4.1%
  • Computer Hardware -4.4%
  • AI/Robotics -4.7%
  • Disk Drives -5.0%
  • Alt Energy -9.0%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (3)
  • KNX, EEFT and SUM
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (15)
  • DAR, ASB, ASGN, HRMY, AXP, FITB, BANC, ORCL, HPE, ZION, CMA, WAL and ENPH
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

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