S&P 500 4,235.3 -2.1% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 33,139.6 -1.5%
- NASDAQ 12,999.3 -2.9%
- Russell 2000 1,686.71 -1.8%
- NYSE FANG+ 7,362.7 -2.9%
- Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 29.30 -4.3%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 119.7 -4.6%
- Wilshire 5000 41,967.4 -2.2%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,667.8 -2.6%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,455.91 -1.6%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 711.08 +.94%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,231.64 -1.6%
- NYSE Technology 3,525.28 -3.2%
- Transports 14,462.7 -1.5%
- Utilities 809.8 -1.6%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 83.0 -3.8%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 37.0 -2.7%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 188.5 -1.2%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 103.96 +.16%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 448,672 -.76%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 6.7 -16.2%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -1,073 -561
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -37.5 +5.3%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 321,974 -7.9%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,753,314 -1.9%
- Total Put/Call 1.04 -1.9%
- OEX Put/Call 1.60 -5.1%
- ISE Sentiment 93.0 -26.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.18 +41.0%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 66.3 -4.1%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.22 -20.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index -.26 -19.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 21.1 +9.4%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .71% -45.0%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 31.3+15.6%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.2 +1.7%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.4 -1.2%
- Smart Money Flow Index 12,075.8 -2.6%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 66.7 +20.9
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.608 Trillion -1.7%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$8.179 Million
- AAII % Bulls 34.1 -14.8%
- AAII % Bears 34.6 -5.2%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 286.01 +1.2%
- Crude Oil 88.8/bbl. +1.2%
- Reformulated Gasoline 237.0 +4.7%
- Natural Gas 2.91 -9.1%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 51.11 euros/megawatt-hour -7.5%
- Heating Oil 316.34 -1.6%
- Newcastle Coal 142.0 (1,000/metric ton) -3.4%
- Gold 1,981.10 +2.4%
- Silver 23.37 +2.8%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 399.69 +.08%
- Copper 355.65 -.4%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 367.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1%
- China Iron Ore Spot 113.2 USD/Metric Tonne -3.5
%
- CME Lumber 489.5 -3.0%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,593.6 +.93%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 347.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +5.41% +26.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 24.6% -.6 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.27 +14.1%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 351.63 +393.0%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(86 of 500 reporting) +2.2% -12.1 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 240.28 +.30: Growth
Rate +9.3% +.1 percentage point, P/E 17.8 -.3
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.11% -7.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(2 of 10 reporting) -20.9%
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 267.31 +.21: Growth Rate +57.7% +.1 percentage point, P/E 27.5 -1.0
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 52.9 +1.7 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -32.4 +10.1 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 23.0 +4.6 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-0.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 96.2%(+2.4 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(-6.2 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 11/1
- US Dollar Index 106.2 -.5%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,665.18 -.15%
- Bitcoin/USD 29,514.3 +8.5%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 169.16 +1.0%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -16.75 +26.5 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.92% +30.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.898 Trillion -.24%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.720 Billion +3.6%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 52.o4 +10.1%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 207.05 -.02%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 204.0 unch.
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.18 +4.1%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 85.94 +3.3%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 192.5 +4.1%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 137.02 +10.8%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 43.4 +11.2%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.69 -.32%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 70.2 -5.3%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.0% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.2% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.7% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.7% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.70% unch.: CPI YoY +3.36% -4.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.47% +13.0 basis points
- TED Spread 21.5 +4.0 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -12.25 -1.25 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -27.0 +1.25 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 80.8 +5.6%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 197.0 +1.3%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 351.0 -5.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 102.77 +5.8%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 308.94 +2.7%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 244.2 +2.9%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 188.0 +3.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 905.0 -7.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .87 +2.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.7% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,216.1 +.5%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 205,750 -.48%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% +10.0 basis points
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 49.8 -.5%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 8.03% +23.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 166,900 -6.9%
- Weekly Retail Sales +4.3% +30.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -5.0% unch.
- Box Office Weekly Gross $124.0M +15.4%
- Nationwide Gas $3.56/gallon -.07/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,071.0 +6.5%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 817.20 -.34%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 32.5 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 39.4 -8.1%
- Rail Freight Carloads 267,376 +.73%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,684,362 +20.6%
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value +1.5%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth -2.6%
Leading Sectors
- Restaurants +3.7%
- Gold & Silver +2.2%
- Medical Equipment +2.2%
- Retail +1.3%
- Energy +1.1%
Lagging Sectors
- Airlines -4.1%
- Computer Hardware -4.4%
- AI/Robotics -4.7%
- Disk Drives -5.0%
- Alt Energy -9.0%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (3)
- KNX, EEFT and SUM
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (15)
- DAR, ASB, ASGN, HRMY, AXP, FITB, BANC, ORCL, HPE, ZION, CMA, WAL and ENPH
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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