S&P 500 4,109.5 -2.6% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 32,417.6 -2.3%
- NASDAQ 12,643.0 -2.9%
- Russell 2000 1,634.3 -2.6%
- NYSE FANG+ 7,134.3 -2.5%
- Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 28.8 -1.2%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 117.6 -1.8%
- Wilshire 5000 40,847.4 -2.9%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,584.04 -2.8%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,412.7 -2.6%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 703.8 -1.15%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,216.19 -.93%
- NYSE Technology 3,428.60 -2.2%
- Transports 13,524.7 -6.5%
- Utilities 812.40 +.55%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 81.2 -2.3%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 36.63 -.95%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 188.77 +.15%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 104.49 +.51%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 444,643 -.90%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 6.7 unch.
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -1,197 -124
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -37.3 +.7%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 306,388 -4.8%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,654,168 -5.7%
- Total Put/Call 1.20 +13.1%
- OEX Put/Call .97 -22.7%
- ISE Sentiment 78.0 -15.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.21 -12.9%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 62.0 -6.5%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.30 -8.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index -.11 +15.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 21.2 +.2%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing 1.23% -21.7%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 34.3 +7.8%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.8 -4.6%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.3 -1.9%
- Smart Money Flow Index 11,431.7 -5.3%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 24.8 -41.9
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.633 Trillion +.44%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$3.390 Million
- AAII % Bulls 29.3 -14.1%
- AAII % Bears 43.2 +24.9%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 285.10 -1.57%
- Crude Oil 85.05/bbl. -3.8%
- Reformulated Gasoline 231.09 -2.7%
- Natural Gas 3.16 +8.1%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 50.5 euros/megawatt-hour +.3%
- Heating Oil 303.9 -3.4%
- Newcastle Coal 134.9 (1,000/metric ton) -5.0%
- Gold 2,007.60 +1.27%
- Silver 25.10 -1.4%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 399.61 +.15%
- Copper 364.2 +2.5%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 360.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.8%
- China Iron Ore Spot 119.15 USD/Metric Tonne +5.5
%
- CME Lumber 491.5 +.82%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,590.21 -.26%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 347.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 3Q Forecast +2.26% n/a
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 24.2% -.4 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.36 +22.9%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 21.8 -72.1%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(246 of 500 reporting) +5.8% +3.6 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 240.15 -.13: Growth
Rate +9.2% -.1 percentage point, P/E 17.2 -.6
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.11% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(6 of 10 reporting) +51.9% +72.8 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 269.87 +2.56: Growth Rate +59.2% +1.5 percentage points, P/E 26.2 -1.3
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 63.7 -10.8 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -44.1 +11.7 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.4 +3.4 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply .5%(+.4 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 99.5%(-.4 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 11/1
- US Dollar Index 106.6 +.4%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,667.36 +.01%
- Bitcoin/USD 33,608.8 +12.2%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 168.5 -.44%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -16.75 unch.
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.85% -7.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.872 Trillion -.32%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.890 Billion +6.3%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 51.9 -.26%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 218.48 +5.8%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 197.0 -7.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 32.35 -2.5%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 83.48 -3.1%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 187.98 -2.4%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 144.17 +5.2%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.81 -.26%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.74 +.41%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 69.09 -.7%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.0% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.2% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.7% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.7% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.63% -7.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.32% -4.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.43% -4.0 basis points
- TED Spread 20.0 -1.5 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -11.5 +.75 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.5 +1.5 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 82.1 +.81%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 194.0 -1.3%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 346.0 -5.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 101.27 -1.5%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 293.66 -4.9%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 239.26 -1.9%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 187.0 -1.0 basis point
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 926.0 +21.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .93 +6.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.6% +.1 percentage point
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,210.4 -.5%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 207,500 +.6%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 50.3 +1.0%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 8.04% +1.0 basis point
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 165,200 -1.0%
- Weekly Retail Sales +4.5% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -4.0% +1.0 percentage point
- Box Office Weekly Gross $132.1M +6.5%
- Nationwide Gas $3.52/gallon -.04/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,662.0 -18.8%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 811.50 -.70%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 30.0 -7.7%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 38.7 -1.7%
- Rail Freight Carloads 271,092 +1.4%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,619,848 +21.2%
Best Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Value -2.3%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth -3.4%
Leading Sectors
- Education +5.5%
- Steel +3.8%
- Shipping +1.5%
- Foods +.8%
- Utilities +.6%
Lagging Sectors
- Internet -4.1%
- Energy -5.3%
- Oil Service -6.3%
- Alt Energy -6.3%
- Road & Rail -6.3%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (21)
- DECK, ATGE, CUBI, ARCB, PMT, FIX, SKYW, DXCM, COF, INTC, BJRI, SWK, MMSI, AMZN, JNPR, PFSI, CMG, TBBK, NEM, TXRH and DAR
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (43)
- DEO,
BIPC, MAA, BMO, ABR, GM, SQ, LEA, XPO, AON, VRE, WHR, BIP, PK, HAS,
CPT, UDR, HES, ABBV, CVX, TROX, SEDG, GNTX, VRSN, HTLD, AVTR, OLN,
LBRDK, SAIA, CHTR, PEB, AX, CPRX, F, EXPO, ENPH, ACMR, SNY, GTLS, PTCT
and B
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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