Saturday, February 25, 2023

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:   

Wall Street Journal: 
Barron's:
  • Had bullish commentary on (URI), (DE), (HON), (GOOG), (ZBH), (SYK) and (FE).

Fox News:

CNBC:
Zero Hedge: 
MarketWatch.com:             
NewsMax:
TheGatewayPundit.com:
Twitter:
OpenVAERS:
SKirsch.com:

Friday, February 24, 2023

Evening Headlines

Bloomberg:                       

Wall Street Journal: 

Fox News:

CNBC:
Zero Hedge: 
.MarketWatch.com:             
TheGatewayPundit.com: 
Twitter:
OpenVAERS:
SKirsch.com:

Weekly Scoreboard*

 

S&P 500 3,962.87 -3.31%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 32,892.9 -2.9%
  • NASDAQ 11,408.5 -4.3%
  • Russell 2000 1,883.73 -3.1%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 69.99 -5.6
  • Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 6.08 -8.2%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 144.73 -6.9%
  • Wilshire 5000 40,118.7 -3.5%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,292.12 -3.8%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,515.80 -3.0%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 758.06 -.5%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,104.4 -.7%
  • NYSE Technology 2,892.5 -5.7%
  • Transports 14,590.77 -4.44%
  • Utilities 926.63 -2.0%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 88.7 -.46%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 38.2 -4.9%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,461.8 -.71%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 923.8 +.12%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 455,761 -.6%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -89 -173
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -30.8 n/a
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 249,799 n/a
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,660,450 n/a
  • Total Put/Call 1.13 +7.6%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.72 +9.4%
  • ISE Sentiment 86.0 -16.0 points
  • NYSE Arms .89 -1.9
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 60.6 -1.62%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 26.0 -6.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 20.1 -.93%
  • DJIA Intraday % Swing 1.08% +30.1%
  • CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 37.6 +12.6%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 9.9 -2.9%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 11.0 +1.7%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 14,056.6 -.39%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  57.1 -14.1
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.820 Trillion +.11%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$8.778 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 21.6 -36.7%
  • AAII % Bears 38.6 +34.0%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 266.94 -1.2%
  • Crude Oil 76.1/bbl. -2.5%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 236.0 -2.9%
  • Natural Gas 2.44 +.8%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 51.0 euros/megawatt-hour +4.3%
  • Heating Oil 277.10 -1.4% 
  • Newcastle Coal 204.5 (1,000/metric ton) +13.6%
  • Gold 1,809.8 -1.7%
  • Silver 20.8 -4.3%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 453.17 -.91%
  • Copper 395.40 -4.1%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 433.0 USD/Metric Tonne +4.3%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 124.0 USD/Metric Tonne -3.7%
  • Lumber  379.60 -2.8%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,550.58 -1.3%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 372.5 USD/Short Ton -1.6%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +2.50% unch.
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -3.0% n/a
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 60.0% -5.0 percentage points
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.16 +23.4%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 285.8 +80.4%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 223.97 -.05:  Growth Rate +.3% +.1 percentage point, P/E 17.9 -.4
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.39% -3.0 basis points
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 37.5 +8.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 68.47-10.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.5 -1.3 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-0.0 percentage points) chance of no change, 70.1%(-11.8 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.75-5.0% and 29.9%(+11.8 percentage points) chance of +50.0 basis point hike to 5.0-5.25% on 3/22
  • US Dollar Index 105.3 +1.1%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,675.91 +.1%
  • Bitcoin/USD 23,054.5 -6.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 149.81 +.45%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) -86.0 -6.0 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.97% +14.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.346 Trillion -.03%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 34.5 +2.9%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 173.75 +8.0%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 180.0 +4.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.9 +.2%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 71.08 +10.7%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 233.31 +1.4%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 52.6 +1.8%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 44.8 +4.2%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 27.2 -1.5%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.6% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +6.9% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +10.1% unch.
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Rents YoY 6.22% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +4.72% +42.0 basis points: CPI YoY +6.23% -1.0 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.38% +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 15.0 +3.75 basis points 
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 34.0 +2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.0 -.25 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 76.51 +5.1%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 255.0 +4.9
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 301.0 -21.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 89.8 +5.3%
  • Credit Suisse Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 404.91 +4.9%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 244.54 +2.7%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 150.0 +3.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 513.0 +8.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .61 +1.0 basis point
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -1.3% unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,238.2 -1.4%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 191,250 +.79%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.1% -10.0 basis points
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 49.8 +2.5%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.94% +15.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 199,800 -13.3%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.8% +20.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 +3.0% +5.4 percentage points
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $119.8M +27.1%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.39/gallon -.03/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 816.0 +51.7%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,077.8 -1.5%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 42.5 unch.
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 42.3 -5.2%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 237,705 -1.2%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,317,943 +12.9%
  • US Covid-19:  84 infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 4.8%(-0.0 percentage point) of peak on 1/14/22(1,740) -0/100K people from prior report
  • US Covid-19:  New patient hospital admissions per 100K -83.2%(-.8 percentage point) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/22-1/15/22
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value -3.0%
Worst Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Growth -4.1%
Leading Sectors
  • Shipping +2.9%
  • Foods +.4%
  • Construction +.4%
  • Defense unch.
  • Pharma -.9%
Lagging Sectors
  • Retail -6.6%
  • Oil Service -6.9%
  • Alt Energy -7.0%
  • Video Gaming -7.1%
  • Social Media -8.0%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (15)
  • UVE, ZETA, KTOS, EVER, MAX, CYRX, BYND, BECN, ALTR, CRC, OLED, EGLE, EGLE, VRRM, AROC and INSW
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (43)
  • NICE, YETI, ZUMZ, W, BHP, MPW, STAA, OUT, JD, BA, PRMW, EOG, PLNT, DVAX, NTES, BABA, TOST, REPL, SEM, BALY, DINO, ADBE, BPMC, KT, U, MBLY, RYI, DBRG, RUN, FYBR, MDGL, LYV, MATV, VIR, LITE, INT, ADSK, BAND, LASR, SSP, ATSG and VICR
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change