Tuesday, July 19, 2005

Housing Backlogs at 26-year High

- Housing Starts for June were 2004K versus estimates of 2050K and 2004K in May.
- Building Permits for June were 2111K versus estimates of 2085K and 2062K in May.

BOTTOM LINE: US housing starts were unchanged in June, suggesting builders may have paused to finish homes already under construction, Bloomberg reported. Backlogs jumped to a 26-year high, while permits rose. Backlogs rose 7.8% to 241,000 units at an annual rate, up 19% from June 2004. Housing starts will likely increase near-term as builders try to work off the record backlog amid an all-time high home sales pace in the first half. I continue to believe housing will remain strong by historic standards with price appreciation moderating but not plunging.

No comments: