Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Rising Global Growth Fears, Eurozone Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/Transportation Sector Weakness

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 14.06 +5.63%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 85.0 -12.0%
  • Total Put/Call .93 -5.1%
  • NYSE Arms 1.02 +35.12%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 89.72 +4.1%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 142.2 +1.5%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 100.8 +1.4%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 228.5 +5.2%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.75 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 23.75 +.25 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.25 +2.0 bps
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 172.0 +1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $149.40/Metric Tonne +.67%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -30.8 -23.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.55 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -3 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -15 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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