Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising US Debt Ceiling Worries, Eurozone Debt Angst, Profit-Taking, Metals&Mining/Biotech/Defense Sector Weakness

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 13.35 -1.48%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 89.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .86 -18.1%
  • NYSE Arms 1.07 +54.50%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 88.43 -.21%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 132.85 -1.11%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 99.83 -.17%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 213.48 +.14%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.5 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 22.75 +.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% unch.
  • Yield Curve 157.0 -2 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $145.40/Metric Tonne -4.91%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 3.30 -4.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.50 -3 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +70 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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