Friday, January 25, 2013

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Diminishing Global Growth Fears, Short-Covering, Tech/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 12.85 +1.26%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 130.0 +9.2%
  • Total Put/Call .88 +1.15%
  • NYSE Arms .65 -31.83%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 85.11 -1.65%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 136.17 -.75%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 98.67 -1.55%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 212.52 -.41%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 16.25 +1.0 bp
  • TED Spread 23.0 +.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.75 +1.5 bps
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 167.0 +6 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $148.60/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -2.0 -1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.52 -3 bps
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +89 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +11 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/biotech/retail/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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