Friday, January 18, 2013

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Debt Ceiling Hopes, Short-Covering, Earnings Optimism, I-Banking/Oil Service Sector Strength

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 12.51 -7.81%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 160.0 +5.96%
  • Total Put/Call .72 -8.86%
  • NYSE Arms .98 -34.10%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 87.15 -.52%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 135.89 +2.76%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 97.67 -1.42%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 214.31 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.25 -.5 bp
  • TED Spread 23.0 +.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.50 -1.5 bps
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% -1 bp
  • Yield Curve 159.0 -2 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $145.10/Metric Tonne -.21%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 2.20 -3.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.54 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +77 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +24 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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