Thursday, January 31, 2013

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Rising Eurozone Debt Angst, Profit-Taking, Defense/Energy Sector Weakness

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 14.28 -.28%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 133.0 +70.5%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -8.6%
  • NYSE Arms 1.07 +5.74%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 89.15 -1.27%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 146.40 +2.94%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 102.81 +1.92%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 230.55 +.66%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 16.75 +1.0 bp
  • TED Spread 23.25 -.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.0 +.25 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% +1 bp
  • Yield Curve 172.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $152.5/Metric Tonne +2.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -27.9 +2.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.56 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +17 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/medical/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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