Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Debt Ceiling Hopes, Short-Covering, Retail/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 13.43 -.67%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 89.0 -16.82%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +31.25%
  • NYSE Arms .70 -42.26%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 88.80 -.85%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 134.33 +2.15%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 100.0 +1.11%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 212.72 -1.25%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 -.5 bp
  • TED Spread 22.25 -1.5 bps
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.75 -.75 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% +2 bps
  • Yield Curve 159.0 -3 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $152.90/Metric Tonne -1.10%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 7.90 -1.0 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.53 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +19 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +18 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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