Thursday, October 03, 2013

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, US Debt Ceiling/Shutdown Worries, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/REIT Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.49 +5.36%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.17 +.23%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.85 -.81%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.21 +5.13%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 94.0 -22.96%
  • Total Put/Call .96 +.28%
  • NYSE Arms .94 +61.63% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 80.53 +1.05%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 140.96 +.80%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 82.31 +1.0%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 293.50 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.25 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.75 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 229.0 -1 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $131.40/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 44.90 -6.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.90 -.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20 -1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +28 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +28 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my tech, biotech, medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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