Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on US Debt Ceiling/Shutdown Concerns, Global Growth Fears, Yen Strength, Transport/Defense Sector Weakness
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Lower
- Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 16.69 +7.40%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.92 -.23%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.91 -1.29%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.67 +4.64%
- ISE Sentiment Index 134.0 +19.64%
- Total Put/Call .76 -10.59%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 79.66 +.34%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 139.61 +.27%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 81.50 -.61%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 293.44 +2.06%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
- Yield Curve 230.0 -1 basis point
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $131.40/Metric Tonne unch.
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 51.70 -1.6 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.10 -.7 point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21 +1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating +80 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating +17 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs and index hedges
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
- Market Exposure: 50% Net Long
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