Wednesday, October 02, 2013

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on US Debt Ceiling/Shutdown Concerns, Global Growth Fears, Yen Strength, Transport/Defense Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.69 +7.40%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.92  -.23%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.91 -1.29%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.67 +4.64%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 134.0 +19.64%
  • Total Put/Call .76 -10.59%
  • NYSE Arms .67 -4.09% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 79.66 +.34%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 139.61 +.27%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 81.50 -.61%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 293.44 +2.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 23.0 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 230.0 -1 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $131.40/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 51.70 -1.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.10 -.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21 +1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +80 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +17 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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