Wednesday, May 14, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Global Growth Fears, Yen Strength, Homebuilding/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.25 +.99%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.63 -.40%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.19 +.14%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.59 +2.43%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 87.0 -26.27%
  • Total Put/Call 1.07 +21.59%
  • NYSE Arms 1.09 +26.20% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.02 +.97%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 72.80 +.76%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 31.94 +.69%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 82.03 -1.09%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 264.64 -1.34%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 354.73 -.59%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -7.0 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 217.0 -6.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $103.50/Metric Tonne +.49%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -11.40 +1.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -27.10 -.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -145 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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