Tuesday, July 15, 2014

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Escalating Equity/Debt Bubble Concerns, Midest Unrest, Global Growth Worries, Biotech/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.88 +.51%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.04 -.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 5.91 +.68%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.86 +2.28%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 86.0 -23.21%
  • Total Put/Call .83 -5.86%
  • NYSE Arms .75 -20.01% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.21 -.23%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.52 +4.65%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 36.38 -1.62%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 71.46 +.75%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 232.87 +2.33%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 304.46 n/a
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.25 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 21.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.75 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 207.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $98.0/Metric Tonne +.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -15.70 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.80 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.24 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +29 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

1 comment:

theyenguy said...

On Tuesday, July 15, 2014, Fed Chairman Jane Jellen spoke in Semiannual Monetary Policy Report To Congress, and stocks, commodities, bonds, and currencies all traded lower, evidencing the failure of fiat money.

Debt deflation is underway as Credit Investments, AGG, traded lower, as the Interest Rate on the US Ten Year Notes, ^TNX, traded higher from its Friday July 11, 2014, value of 2.52% to 2.55%; thus evidencing that the bond vigilantes are in control of Interest Rates worldwide.

Major World Currencies, DBV, were led lower by the Canadian Dollar, FXC; and Emerging Market Currencies, CEW, were led lower by the Brazilian Real, BZF.


On July 2, 2014, the failure of credit commenced as Aggregate Credit, AGG, traded lower in value.


On Monday, July 7, 2014, the destruction of fiat wealth commenced, as risk-on investing turned to risk-off investing, with World Stocks, ACWI, Nation Investment, EFA, Global Financials, IXG, and Yield Bearing Investments, DTN, all trading lower from rally highs, as investors fear that the monetary policies of the world central banks no longer stimulate investment gains nor global economic growth.

On Tuesday, July 15, 2014, the death of currencies commenced as is seen in the Commodity Currencies, CCX, such as the Canadian Dollar, FXC, the Euro, FXA, and the Australian Dollar, FXA, trading lower, on fear that the monetary policies of the world central banks have crossed the rubicon of sound monetary policy and have made money good investments bad.

One should not be invested in Equity Investments, Nation Investments, Banking Investments, Yield Bearing Investment, or Credit Investments, as the death of Sovereign Currencies, commenced on Tuesday July 15, 2014, after Janet Yellen spoke in Semiannual Monetary Policy Report To Congress.

Fiat Money, defined as the combination of Credit, AGG, and Major World Currencies, DBV, and Emerging Market Currencies, CEW, died on Tuesday July 15, 2014, as investors fear that the monetary policies have crossed the rubicon of sound monetary policies and have made money good investments bad.

It may be that Gold will be trading lower in value, as it does, one should be dollar cost averaging into the physical possession of gold bullion, as it is the only safe asset and will eventually be trading higher as all fiat assets trade lower in value. Gold is in the middle of an Elliott Wave 3 Up, these are the most dynamic and sweeping of all economic waves, as they move higher to their Elliott Wave 5 High.

One should not be invested in Equity Investments, Nation Investments, Banking Investments, Yield Bearing Investment, or Credit Investments, as the death of Sovereign Currencies, commenced on Tuesday July 15, 2014, after Janet Yellen spoke in Semiannual Monetary Policy Report To Congress.

Fiat Money, defined as the combination of Credit, AGG, and Major World Currencies, DBV, and Emerging Market Currencies, CEW, died on Tuesday July 15, 2014, as investors fear that the monetary policies have crossed the rubicon of sound monetary policies and have made money good investments bad.

Please consider that given that Fiat Wealth, That Is The Coinage Of The Banker Regime, Is Trading Lower In Value, The World Has Pivoted Into Kondratieff Winter.


The failure of credit, which occurred on July 2, 1014, and the death of currencies, which occurred on July 15, 2014, are dual extinction events, which will rapidly make the investor extinct.

The Bond Vigilantes, being in firm control of The Bow of Economic Sovereignty, that is the Benchmark Interest Rate, will be calling Interest Rates higher worldwide, introducing political coup d etats; out of which the new money, diktat money, defined as the mandates of regional leaders for regional security, stability, and sustainability, will underwrite regional fascism replacing today’s crony capitalism, socialism, and communism.

Inasmuch as destructionism is replacing inflationism, the economic future is one of global economic deflation, and rising headline price inflation.