Wednesday, July 09, 2014

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Earnings Optimism, Short-Covering, Tech/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.58 -3.34%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.67 +.24%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 5.82 -1.36%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.88 -1.89%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 123.0 +48.19%
  • Total Put/Call .83 -7.78%
  • NYSE Arms .67 -57.53% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.35 -.58%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 69.24 +3.42%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 35.40 +6.98%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 70.75 -.16%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 221.13 -4.73%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 301.26 +1.21%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.50 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -11.75 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 205.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $96.60/Metric Tonne +.10%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -14.0 -.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.60 +1.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.26 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +72 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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