Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Stocks Reversing Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Escalating Rate Hike Worries, Russia-Ukraine/Mideast Tensions, Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Homebuilding/Utility Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.49 +1.66%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.73 +.55%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.37 +4.43%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.16 -2.63%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 99.0 -6.60%
  • Total Put/Call .99 +19.28%
  • NYSE Arms .71 -46.58% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.41 +.23%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.0 -1.10%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 34.09 +.92%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 70.85 -1.01%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 262.32 +1.99%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 303.72 +1.27%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.0 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.50 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.25 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 200.0 +8.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $95.90/Metric Tonne +.63%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.20 +12.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.20 -1.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.27 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +104 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +8 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/biotech/medical/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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