Friday, July 25, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Escalating Russia-Ukraine/Mideast Tensions, Earnings Worries, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Homebuilding/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.59 +6.33%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.73 -.25%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 5.89 +1.55%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.47 +2.32%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 103.0 +11.96%
  • Total Put/Call .92 +1.10%
  • NYSE Arms .95 +32.88% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 59.14 +.41%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.50 +1.34%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 33.77 -3.13%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 70.96 +1.31%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 247.66 +3.36%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 309.69 -.91%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 20.75 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.75 -2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 198.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $94.30/Metric Tonne +.75%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -24.50 +1.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.6 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.27 +3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -10 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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