Thursday, September 04, 2014

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Escalating Russia-Ukraine Tensions, Technical Selling, Profit-Taking, Commodity/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.24 -.97%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.19 -1.18%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.41 +.31%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.54 -1.0%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 98.0 +11.36%
  • Total Put/Call .93 -7.92%
  • NYSE Arms .84 +2.72% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.19 +.55%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 56.15 -4.73%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.75 -6.65%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 63.05 +1.35%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 228.41 -18.39%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 306.67 -1.0%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 21.50 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.75 -5.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 191.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $84.30/Metric Tonne -1.63%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 47.0 +3.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.20 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +59 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -13 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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