Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Stocks Falling Substantially into Final Hour on Surging Eurozone/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Escalating Ebola Fears, Global Growth Worries, Healthcare/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 28.68 +26.15%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.40 -.07%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.66 +3.84%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 71.57 +10.67%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 99.0 +59.68%
  • Total Put/Call 1.33 +26.67%
  • NYSE Arms 1.92 +114.75% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 75.17 +3.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.85 +9.79%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 30.91 +14.58%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 73.58 +.28%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 290.99 +7.72%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 340.95 +3.20%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.25 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.25 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 178.0 -5.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $82.55/Metric Tonne -1.52%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 12.30 -7.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -57.1 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -23.90 +1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.85 -7 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -401 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -21 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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