Thursday, October 23, 2014

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Diminished Global Growth Fears, Earnings Optimism, Yen Weakness, Tech/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.99 -4.92%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.93 +1.01%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.97 -2.45%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 67.28 +4.02%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 138.0 +84.0%
  • Total Put/Call .78 -33.33%
  • NYSE Arms 1.17 -30.45% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.21 -2.80%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.45 -.45%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.29 -.32%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 68.56 +1.22%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 263.28 +.58%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 334.79 -.46%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.5 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.25 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% -2.0 basis poins
  • Yield Curve 189.0 +3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $80.29/Metric Tonne -1.88%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 19.40 +.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -38.9 +14.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.0 +2.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.91 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +265 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -20 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/retail/biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added some back
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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