Friday, October 17, 2014

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Less Eurozone/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Earnings Optimism, Homebuilding/Healthcare Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 22.60 -10.32%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.26 +.04%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.40 -2.78%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 69.42 +2.86%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 98.0 +38.03%
  • Total Put/Call 1.11 +9.90%
  • NYSE Arms .67 -57.21% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.75 -3.88%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 72.58 -6.97%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 33.65 -2.18%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 74.32 -2.76%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 262.54 -6.20%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 353.83 +1.41%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 20.75 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.0 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 183.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $80.82/Metric Tonne +.62%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 20.60 +2.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -54.1 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.80 +1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.93 +3 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +215 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -73 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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