Monday, October 20, 2014

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Bargain-Hunting, Short-Covering, Retail/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.03 -13.46%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.96 +.41%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.58 +1.18%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 65.97 -3.48%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 112.0 +12.74%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -27.73%
  • NYSE Arms .99 +58.88% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 70.20 -.27%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.50 +2.97%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 34.80 +3.40%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 73.32 -.66%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 263.20 +.55%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 344.71 -2.58%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 20.5 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.75 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 183.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $81.60/Metric Tonne +.97%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 21.20 +.6 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -54.1 unch.
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.60 -.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.91 -2 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +69 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +25 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/retail/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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